Concacaf

Mexico vs United States CONCACAF Qualifying: Who is more likely to win?

Mexico vs USMNT will be played for the 12th round of the CONCACAF World Cup qualifiers

Tyler Adams with USA jersey and Hector Herrera with Mexico jersey
Tyler Adams with USA jersey and Hector Herrera with Mexico jersey

The Mexican national soccer team’s twelfth CONCACAF World Cup qualifying match is against the USMNT. ‘El Tri’ won at home 1-0 against Panamá in the eleventh round of the World Cup qualifiers. Mexico are currently in third place in the standings with 21 points, tied with the USMNT but with a lower goal difference.

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On the other hand, Gregg Berhalter's boys won 3-0 against Honduras at the Allianz Field. The US soccer national team are in second place, also with 21 points. The Stars and Stripes are 4 points behind Canada, which is very close to returning to a World Cup.

Mexico vs United States: history

According to the history of matches between the two and taking the last 24 games, the Mexican team has won 12 games while the United States team has won only 6 games. All the rest correspond to draws between the two teams.

With this record, Mexico has a high probability of winning and achieving an excellent position for the end of the CONCACAF Qualifiers.

Mexico's Odds

This graph demonstrates Mexico's offensive power against the United States with a 94% probability of scoring against their classic CONCACAF rival in this match at the Azteca Stadium.

According to this graph, 'El Tri' is more likely to score two goals or more than to score one goal or not score at all.

Odds of the United States

The probability of the United States is totally different from Mexico's staging, as it counts on 81.87% in not converting in this match, which would mean a certain defeat.

Although the context may be different since the history of this last time, the results were even, but everything indicates that tomorrow there will be a new defeat of the United States and a victory of Mexico.

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