Qatar 2022 World Cup Draw: How will the USMNT and Mexican National Team fare against their opponents?

The draw for the Qatar 2022 World Cup has just ended and the question has arisen among CONCACAF fans: how will the USMNT and the Mexican National Team fare against their rivals?

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Both national teams ended up in groups in which they will face complicated opponents that could end their chances of advancing to the second round of the tournament.

Qatar 2022 World Cup draw: what groups were the USMNT and the Mexican National Team placed in?

The USMNT and the Mexican national soccer team were placed in groups B and C and will be competing with the following national teams. 

Group B

England

Iran

USMNT

The winning team in the European playoffs, either Wales, Scotland, or Ukraine

Group C

Argentina

Saudi Arabia

Mexico 

Poland

How will the USMNT and the Mexican National Team fare against their opponents?

According to calculations, these will be the likely outcomes for the USMNT and their most dangerous opponents.

USMNT vs England

Date: Friday, November 25

USMNT probability of winning: 18.18%. 

Draw: 9.09%. 

ENGLAND probability of winning: 72.73%.

In this case, ENGLAND wins with a 0-2 score.

This pair of teams have not met in World Cups, so this will be the first time they do so. While the Stars and Stripes finished third in CONCACAF, the Three Lions finished the qualifiers as group leaders.

As a result, the Gareth Southgate-led team could be in better shape for the World Cup, although the tournament is still several months away, where Gregg Berhalter's team will be attending with its golden generation of players. 

USMNT vs Iran

Date: Tuesday, November 29

USMNT to win: 45%

Tie: 11%

Win Iran: 44%.

It would be a very difficult match, where the most likely outcome would be a draw or a 1-0 US draw at the end.

But this match has some history as both national teams have already met twice, and in their first meeting, the Stars and Stripes were defeated by Iran, which took place at the 1998 FIFA World Cup in France.

The second meeting between the two teams ended in a draw, on January 16, 2000, in a friendly match, so Berhalter will have to review both duels to find out what he needs to improve in his national team. 

Mexico vs Poland

Date: Tuesday, November 22

Mexico's probability of winning: is 33.33%. 

Draw: 22.22%. 

Poland's odds to win: 44.44%.

In this case, MEXICO wins, although the probability is slightly different, Poland comes from the playoffs. Result 1-1 (penalties). Result b 2-1

These national teams have only met about 8 times, in which Poland has won 3 times, Mexico has also won 3 times, and they have drawn in 2 matches. 

However, the factor that could tip the balance will be the performance of Robert Lewandowski, who has led his national team to the World Cup and will weigh heavily in the duel against Mexico. 

Mexico vs Argentina

Date: Saturday, November 26

Mexico Odds: 12.90% to win 

Draw: 38.71%. 

Argentina's win probability: 48.39%.

In this case, Argentina wins 1-2.

These teams have met on a total of 25 occasions, in which the Albiceleste has won 16 times, to 5 wins for El Tri and 5 matches that ended in a draw, so the superiority of the Argentines is more than evident.

Therefore, it is very likely that the result will be a tight victory for the Argentinean soccer team, although Mexico could aim for a draw.

Mexico vs Saudi Arabia

Date: Wednesday, November 30

Mexico Wins 59.99%.

Tie: 20%

Win Saudi Arabia 21%.

Result 2-1 Mexico wins.

This duel has been played on 4 other occasions and in those duels, the winner was the Mexican National Team, so its dominance over the Saudi team is not in doubt, however, the locality may weigh and the players of the Saudi Arabian team are more than accustomed to the climate of Qatar.

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