Barcelona vs Napoli Europa League Prediction: who is more likely to win in the first leg?

Barcelona will play against Napoli in the round of 32. Undoubtedly, this match has raised a lot of expectations because both teams are protagonists in their local leagues. Although Barcelona are not leaving their best moment, the Xavi Hernández’s squad has much more to show. Meanwhile, Napoli are fighting in the Seria A for the title, Luciano Spaletti’s squad is currently in third place, behind Inter and AC Milan.

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How did both teams reach the round of 32?

On the home side, the ‘Culé’ team arrives at this match after being eliminated from the Champions League in the group stage and comes from a 3-0 away defeat against Bayern Munich. The team coached by Xavi Hernández, with the arrival of Ferrán Torres, Adama Traoré, and Pierre Aubameyang, will be looking to win the second most important European title.

We move on to the away situation, where the 'Azzurri' have just qualified for this stage after finishing 2nd in Group C of the Europa League, beating Leicester 3-2 at home in the last match. Thus, Luciano Spaletti's team will try to give another knockout blow to the Blaugranas.

Barcelona vs Napoli head to head record

Barcelona and Napoli have met each other in a total of 6 games since 2008. The Blaugranas have won 4 times while the Azzurri have won just one time, the remaining game ended in a draw.

The last two meetings between the clubs were in a Champions League quarter-final in 2020. The Spanish team won on aggregate 4-2 and advanced to the semifinals.

Barcelona vs Napoli Prediction:

According to the historical record between Barcelona and Napoli plus the home advantage of the Blaugrana team, the predictions are as follows:

Barcelona wins 79%.

Draw 11%

Napoli wins 10%

Barcelona vs Napoli: Match Information

Date: Thursday, February 17th, 2022

Time: 11:45 PM (ET)

Location: Camp Nou Stadium, Barcelona, Spain

Barcelona vs Napoli: Times by State in the US

ET: 12:45 PM

CT: 11:45 AM

MT: 10:45 AM

PT:  9:45 AM

How to watch live Barcelona vs Napoli

TV Channel:

US:  TUDN USA, UniMás

México: Fox Sports

Livestream: 

US: Paramount+, UNIVERSO NOW, TUDN.com TUDN App

México: Fanatiz, Star+

What System is applied to predict the outcome of Barcelona vs Napoli

At El Futbolero US, we decided to apply our own measurement system based on historical data of both teams with the help of "The Professor", knowledge of statistical patterns and Poisson distributions applicable through Python programming. 

Thanks to this we can predict the number of goals that each team can score based on historical results.

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