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Qatar 2022 World Cup: USMNT's qualification in jeopardy if they slip up against Iran

The Stars and Stripes will face the Persians, but will also have to overcome other tough tests to reach the second round of the tournament.

By Wilian Estrella

The Stars and Stripes will face the Persians, but will also have to overcome other tough tests to reach the second round of the tournament.
The Stars and Stripes will face the Persians, but will also have to overcome other tough tests to reach the second round of the tournament.
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The Qatar 2022 World Cup is just around the corner, so it is important to see why the USMNT's qualification could be in jeopardy if they slip up against Iran.

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Along with the Persians, the Three Lions, the team coached by Gregg Berhalter will have to wait for the winner of the play-off between Scotland, Ukraine, and Wales to find out the third opponent in their group.

Qatar 2022 World Cup: Predictions and odds of the USMNT matches

To find out what to expect for Christian Pulisic and Ricardo Pepi's team at the 2022 World Cup in Qatar, we take a look at the USMNT matchup predictions and odds.

USMNT vs England

USMNT probability of winning: 18.18%. 

Draw: 9.09%. 

England probability of winning: 72.73%.

In this case, England wins with a 0-2 score

Gregg Berhalter and Gareth Southgate's teams have never met at this stage, so the match will be one that no one will want to miss, especially those who have bet on the United States advancing to the next round. 

In this duel, Bukayo Saka and Harry Kane will have to face Pulisic, Pepi, and the rest of the Stars and Stripes, who are living their first World Cup, with a golden generation that dominated much of the CONCACAF Qualifying.

USMNT vs Iran

USMNT to win: 45%.

Tie: 11%.

Win Iran: 44%.

It would be a very difficult match, where the most likely result would be a draw or a 1-0 USA score at the end.

This match is where the Stars and Stripes have their biggest advantage since, on the 2 occasions in which both teams have met, the Americans have beaten the Persians.

USMNT vs Scotland

USMNT Win: 25%

Draw: 32.92%.

Win Scotland: 42.08%.

Result 1-2 Scotland Wins.

Although the Scots' World Cup berth is not yet defined, they are a very dangerous team that, under Steve Clarke and with Andrew Robertson as captain, could put Berhalter's team in trouble. 

USMNT vs Wales

Win USMNT: 45.38%.

Draw: 28.81%

Win Wales: 25.81%.

Result 1-0 Win USA.

With everything and Gareth Bale playing for Wales, everything seems to indicate that the USA could get the win against this team. However, the logical thing is that for this to happen, Berhalter will have to put a personal mark on Bale, one of the fastest soccer players in the world.

USA vs Ukraine

Win USMNT: 15.09%.

Draw: 32.58% 

Win Ukraine: 52.33%.

Result 1-2 Win Ukraine.

Another tough opponent for the Stars and Stripes, as this team, features Artem Besyedin, striker of Dynamo Kyiv in the Ukrainian Premier League, who could give his team plenty of attacking options. 

Why is the USMNT's qualification in jeopardy if they slip up against Iran?

The problem with the U.S. group is that not knowing which national team they will face after the Iran game, they don't know how much margin for error they have.

Therefore, a loss to the Iranians, their second opponent, could cost them the tournament. Or even if they get a draw, the third team could beat or tie them, thus jeopardizing their passage to the next round. 

For this reason, and even though the United States has beaten Iran in previous matches, they should not be confident in this match and should bet everything on winning against the Persians, to avoid surprises or problems with the sum of their points.

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