CF Montréal vs Santos Laguna CONCACAF Champions League 2022 Prediction: who is more likely to win the series?

Amid a questionable debut in the Grita Mexico Clausura 2022 tournament, Club Santos Laguna is preparing to make its second appearance in the CONCACAF Champions League 2022. After earning the right to participate in the international competition by reaching the final of the Guard1anes 2021, the team from the Comarca will try to define the series in Canada, playing away.

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As the two teams come from different leagues, the locale will be a relevant factor for the Laguneros to feel that the result obtained in Mexico gives them a difference, but is not definitive. 

Santos' coach, Pedro Caixinha, proposed a 4-4-2 strategy in the first leg with Carlos Acevedo in goal; Ismael Govea, Félix Torres, Matheus Doria and Omar Campos in the defensive line; Alan Cervantes, Edgar Games, Fernando Gorriarán and Brian Lozano in the middle; and Eduardo Aguirre and Harold Preciado in attack. 

On the other hand, Wilfred Nancy's team had a 3-4-3 formation with Sebastián Breza at the back; Gabriele Corbo, Joel Waterman, and Kamal Miller in defense; Mathieu Choiniere, Rida Zouhir, Victor Wanyama, and Lassi Lappalainen in midfield; and Joaquín Torres, Romel Quioto and Djordje Mihailovic upfront. 

The data that ensures Santos Laguna's success or failure

When it comes to hopes, the Mexican team has a very favorable record against Canadian teams. Out of the 7 matches played, they have only lost one, but that was precisely against CF Montréal.

This gives us a 50% chance in a series that promises to be close until the last minute of the match. 

What is the probability that CF Montréal will beat Santos Laguna?

CF Montréal has a 36% chance of winning the match but is reduced to a 30% chance of winning the series. Santos Laguna has a 30% chance of winning the second leg but increases its chances to 57% to advance in the series and continue to think about making history. 

This is because the Canadian team has the possibility of making its home advantage count, but its defensive game is very weak, so it may concede away goals that will benefit the Mexican team.

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