Puebla vs Monterrey Liga MX 2022 Prediction: Who is more likely to win?

Puebla and Monterrey clash will be played next Friday, February 18, at the Cuauhtémoc Stadium, home of La Franja. The current Liga MX leaders tied against Atlas, the reigning Mexican soccer champions, in their last match. 

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Meanwhile, Monterrey will resume their activity in the Liga MX after missing round 5 because they were playing the FIFA Club World Cup in which they obtained fifth place after beating Al Jazira from the United Arab Emirates.

The current situation of both clubs is extremely different. Puebla’s team is living an amazing start in the Clausura 2022 tournament, sitting in first place after five games. Nicolás Larcamón has led La Franja since 2021 and has shown that soccer is a team game and that money is not necessary to build competitive teams.

On the other hand, Javier Aguirre leads Monterrey, the most expensive team in all Mexican soccer. The club from the north failed in the FIFA Club World Cup and Monterrey fans are calling for the coach to be fired. The Mexican boss has not been able to build a competitive squad despite he counts with quality players.

Puebla vs Monterrey head-to-head record

Of the 45 matches played by both teams in their history, Rayados de Monterrey lead the history with 15 wins (34%) against Puebla FC with 10 (22%); but the protagonist of this movie is the "draw" that occurred 19 times, representing 43% of the matches played between both teams. 

Puebla vs Monterrey: Match Prediction

Despite the fact that Rayados have a clear tendency in their favor in their record, this particular match corresponds to the Liga MX and Puebla are strong at home with a record of 19 matches of which 8 were wins for Puebla FC. 

Therefore, the odds are as follows: 

Puebla wins 44%.

Draw: 11%.

Monterrey wins 45%.

What System is applied to predict the outcome of Puebla vs Monterrey

At El Futbolero US, we decided to apply our own measurement system based on historical data of both teams with the help of "The Professor", knowledge of statistical patterns and Poisson distributions applicable through Python programming. 

Thanks to this we can predict the number of goals that each team can score based on historical results.

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