Chivas VS Tigres Liga MX 2022 Prediction: Who is more likely to win?

Round 5 of the Liga MX 2022 is just around the corner and Marcelo Michel Leaño's men have to prove this week that their first win of the Clausura 2022 was not pure luck. 

More news about Chivas:

Chivas vs FC Juarez: Date, time, predictions, odds, TV channel, live stream, and team news

In that first match they mercilessly beat Mazatlán FC, but after that match, Club Deportivo Guadalajara has only obtained 1 defeat and 1 draw, with their pending match against Bravos de Juárez this Wednesday, February 9, still to come.

On the other hand, Tigres is doing well under the guidance of Miguel Herrera and has achieved 1 draw, 1 defeat and 2 victories at the start of the tournament, which looks like they are once again in contention for the title.

Their next match will be against Chivas. 

An even history between the two teams

Of the 48 matches played by both teams throughout history, Chivas takes the lead with 18 wins (37.5%), Tigres with 17 (35.41%), and the rest of the matches resulted in a draw (27.08%). 

Despite this history, the "Volcan" team has managed to even out the history against them, winning 2 of the last 4 matches played, tying 1, and losing the other, with a 50% probability.

What is the probability of Chivas beating Tigres at home?

Rebaño Sagrado has a 33.63% probability of scoring two goals or more, so the chances of scoring a big difference against Tigres are slim. 

The team coached by Michel Leaño has a 36.14% probability of scoring only one goal and 30.09% of not scoring, so the strength of their home advantage cannot yet be demonstrated against the Felinos. 

What is the probability of Tigres scoring away goals?

Tigres is a team that will go on the defensive, to bet on its high away odds to score few goals but is effective in scoring and defending. 

What system is applied to predict the result of Chivas with Tigres?

In El Futbolero Mexico, we decided to apply our own measurement system based on historical data of both teams helped by "The Professor", knowing statistical patterns and Poisson distributions applicable through Python programming. 

Thanks to this we can predict the number of goals that each team can score based on historical results.

More news about Tigres:

Club America vs Tigres in Houston: Aguilas announce friendly matches against Felinos and Monterrey