Liga MX News

Clausura 2022 Liga MX: these are the teams most likely to become champions

According to the latest results and performances of the Liga MX teams, these are the sides that have the best chances of becoming champions in the Mexican First Division.

The end of the tournament is approaching and the playoffs are taking shape.
The end of the tournament is approaching and the playoffs are taking shape.

Twelve rounds have been played in Liga MX and the top of the table is becoming more and more defined. The strongest teams with the best chances are raising their hands and, with their great performances, are emerging as favorites to be champions of the Clausura 2022.

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At El Futbolero US, we decided to apply our own measurement system based on the historical data of the teams most likely to win Liga MX and with the help of "The Professor", knowledge of statistical patterns and Poisson distributions applicable through Python programming.

Through this system, we present the teams with the best chances of winning the Clausura 2022 Liga MX tournament.

Favorites to win Liga MX 2022

Team Plays playoffs Win the Clausura 2022
Tigres 99% 29%
Monterrey 97% 19%
Pachuca 99% 15%
Cruz Azul 99% 10%
Puebla 99% 6%
Atlas 98% 5%
América 68% 4%
Santos Laguna 82% 4%
León 96% 3%
Chivas 68% 2%


The team coached by Miguel Herrera has gone 9 matches without a loss in the Clausura 2022, since losing on Week 2 against Larcamón's Puebla on January 15 of this year. Since that defeat, the felines have been unstoppable and, with the exception of a draw against Cruz Azul on Week 8, they have won 8 matches, earning 24 points.

With Gignac on fire and a team that likes the way they play, they are favorites to win the Liga MX. Currently, the team has 26 points and is in first place in the table.


Although the Monterrey team had a disappointing start, after the dismissal of Javier Aguirre, Rayados has risen under Victor Manuel Vucetich, with a record of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in its last 5 matches.

The advantage for Monterrey is that it has two matches pending, as it did not play against Toluca due to the Club World Cup and also because of the recent match against Chivas, which was postponed to April 13. These two games, if won, could move Rayados up to fourth place in the table.


With the arrival of Guillermo Almada, the Tuzos have displayed great team play that has taken them to the top of the Liga MX. They were even at the top for two weeks, but their last defeat against Santos pushed them down to second place, as Miguel Herrera's Tigres did win and snatched first place from them.

Pachuca, which currently has 25 points, 1 less than the leaders, will have a direct duel for first place against Tigres this Thursday, a match pending for Round 9 that was canceled due to the unfortunate events that took place between Querétaro and Atlas.

Liga MX Standings

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Hugo Alberto Walls Gómez

SEO Journalist. Bachelor's Degree in Communication and Media Production. Two years working in digital media and editorial assignments. Currently working for Futbolero US and collaborating with INDeportes and Goleadoras MX, following Liga MX, MLS, and the Premier League. Passionate about sports and soccer.+ info

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